Prerequisites for the present China – US сonfrontation

Cover Page

Cite item

Full Text

Open Access Open Access
Restricted Access Access granted
Restricted Access Subscription Access

Abstract

The reasons for the complex confrontation between China and the United States in current conditions are analyzed. The theoretical, methodological and ideological foundations of the increase in tension between these countries are of interest. The novelty of the work lies in the analysis of the prerequisites for the confrontation, on the one hand, from the point of view of the theory of international relations, and on the other, taking into account expert assessments, opinions of politicians, as well as practical politics. The conclusion is formulated: a new round of conflict in the world is caused by the intensification of US activities to restore its influence and prevent the strengthening of other centers of power. The focus on multidimensional confrontation without direct military conflict was predetermined 30 years ago. At the same time, it is now obvious that Chinese initiatives in the field of economics and security are finding more and more supporters. In these conditions, when it is impossible to talk about the unambiguous superiority of the United States or China, a search for compromises and possibilities for peaceful coexistence is necessary.

Full Text

Restricted Access

About the authors

Andrey V. Gubin

Far Eastern Federal University; Jilin University

Author for correspondence.
Email: gubin.av@dvfu.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6042-5754

Candidate of Sciences (Political Science), Associate Professor, International Relations Department, Oriental Institute – School of Regional and International Studies, Adjunct-Professor, North East Asia Research Center

Russian Federation, 690922, Vladivostok, Ajax, Russkiy island, 10; China, Changchun

References

  1. Баранов Н.А. (2018) Турбулентность – характерный признак современной мировой политики // Научно-аналитический журнал Обозреватель – Observer. № 2. C. 6–16.
  2. Baranov N. (2018) Turbulennost’ – kharakterny priznak sovremennoy mirovoy politiki [Turbulence as a distinguishing feature of the contemporary world politics]. Nauchno-analiticheskiy zhurnal Obozrevatel’ – Observer, no. 2, pp. 6–16. (In Russ.)
  3. Денисов И.Е. (2020) Концепция «дискурсивной силы» и трансформация китайской внешней политики при Си Цзиньпине // Сравнительная политика. Т. 11. № 4. С. 42–52.
  4. Denisov I. (2020) Kontseptsiya “diskursivnoy sily” i tranformatsiya kitayskoy vneshney politiki pri Si Tszin’pine [The Concept of ‘Discursive Power’ and the Transformation of Chinese Foreign Policy under Xi Jinpiung]. Sravnitel’naya politika [Comparative Politics], vol. 11, no. 4, pp. 42–52. (In Russ.)
  5. Дугин А.Г. (2013) Международные отношения: парадигмы, теория, социология. М.: Академический проект. 348 с.
  6. Dugin A. (2013) Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya: paradigmy, teoriya, sotsiologiya. [International Relations: paradigms, theory, sociology]. Moscow: Akademicheskiy proekt. 348 p. (In Russ.)
  7. Современные теории международных отношений (2013) / Ред. В.Н. Конышев, А.А. Сергунин. М.: РГ-пресс. 368 с.
  8. Sovremennye teorii mezhdunarodnyh otnosheniy [Contemporary international relations theories] (2013) / Eds: V.N. Konyshev, A.A. Sergunin. Moscow.: RG-Press. 2013. 368 p. (In Russ.)
  9. Стародубов В.П. (2007) От разоружения к капитуляции. М.: Вече. 416 c.
  10. Starodubov V.P. (2007) Ot razoruzhenya k kapitulyaciyi. [From disarmament to capitulation]. Moscow.: Veche. 2007. 416 p. (In Russ.)
  11. Babbin J., Timperlake E. (2006) Showdown: Why China wants War with the United States. Washington D.C.: Regnery. 226 p.
  12. Barrass G. (2009) The Great Cold War: a Journey through the Hall of Mirrors. Stanford: Stanford University Press. 484 p.
  13. Burles M., Shulsky A. (2000) Patterns in China’s Use of Force: Evidence from History and Doctrinal Writings. Santa Monica: RAND. 122 p.
  14. Ding S. (2010) Analyzing rising power from the perspective of soft power: a new look at China’s rise to the power // Journal of Contemporary China. Vol. 19, no. 64, pp. 255–272.
  15. Doyle M. (1983) Kant, Liberal Legacies and Foreign Affairs // Philosophy and Public Affairs. Vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 205–235.
  16. Friedberg A. (2012) A Contest for Supremacy: China, America and the Struggle for Mastery in Asia. New York: W.W. Norton & Company. 384 p.
  17. Friedman G. (2012) The Next Decade: Empire and Republic in a Changing World. New York: Anchor books. 272 p.
  18. Gilley B. (2004) China’s Democratic Future: How it will happen and where it will lead. New York: Columbia University Press. 320 p.
  19. Gilpin R. (2000) The Challenge of Global Capitalism: the World Economy in the 21st Century. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 408 p.
  20. Gilpin R. (1981) War and Change in World Politics. New York, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 288 p.
  21. Goldstein A. (1998) Great Expectation: Interpreting China’s Arrival // International Security. Vol. 22. no. 3. Winter. P. 36–73.
  22. Huntington S. (1991) America’s Changing Strategic Interests // Survival. Vol. 33. no. 1, pp. 3–17.
  23. Mearsheimer J. (2001) The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. New York: W.W. Norton, 2001. 592 p.
  24. Modelski G. (1987) Scenario for the year 2016 // Exploring long cycles. Ed.: G. Modelski. Lynne Rienner Publishers. P. 218–248.
  25. Qin Y. (2013) Culture and global thought: Chinese international theory in the making // Revista CIDOB d’Afers Internacionals. No. 100, pp. 67–89.
  26. Ramo J.С. (2004) The Beijing Consensus: notes on the new physics of Chinese power. London: The Foreign Policy Center. 74 p. (http://fpc.org.uk/fsblob/244.pdf)
  27. Rasler K., Thompson W. (1994) The Great Powers and Global Struggle 1490–1990. Lexington: The University Press of Kentucky. 296 p.
  28. Rosenau J.N. (1990) Turbulence in World Politics. A Theory of Change and Continuity. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press. 480 p.
  29. Rowen H. (1996) The Short March: China’s Road to Democracy // National Interest. Vol. 45. Fall. P. 61–70.
  30. Yan X. (2019) The Age of Uneasy Peace // Foreign Affairs. January/February. Vol. 98, no. 1, pp. 40–49.
  31. Zoellick R. (2005) Whither China: from Membership to Responsibility? Remarks to a National Committee on U.S.–China relations. New York. September 21. U.S. Department of State Archive. (http://2001-2009.state.gov/s/d/former/zoellick/rem/53682.htm)
  32. Xu P., Zhao Q. (2007) Zhongguo zhoubian anquan huanjing touxi [An Analysis of China’s peripheral security environment] // Guoji Wenti Yanjiu. no. 2, pp. 26–31. (in Chinese).

Supplementary files

Supplementary Files
Action
1. JATS XML
Download

Copyright (c) 2024 Russian Academy of Sciences